Provincial Ovalle vs Lautaro de Buin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
38.6%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
7º
14º
8º
27
4º
12º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 55 |
1º
|
56.5% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 52 |
2º
|
55.5% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 46 |
3º
|
97.5% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 39 |
4º
|
65.5% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 37 |
5º
|
34% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 37 |
6º
|
27% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 36 |
7º
|
33% | |
|
|
8º
|
27 | 31 |
8º
|
25% | |
|
|
9º
|
27 | 31 |
9º
|
27.5% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 30 |
10º
|
20% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 29 |
11º
|
22.5% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 28 |
12º
|
24.5% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 27 |
13º
|
32% | |
|
14º
|
8 | 22 |
14º
|
84.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
99.5% | 98% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 2% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Provincial Ovalle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
PUE
1 - 0
OVA
51%
27%
22%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
OVA
4 - 1
MPA
75%
16%
9%
|
47 | 24 | 23 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
ACC
2 - 1
OVA
44%
26%
30%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
OVA
2 - 0
DUC
58%
22%
20%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
CHG
1 - 0
OVA
40%
26%
34%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Lautaro de Buin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
LAU
4 - 3
FVC
43%
27%
31%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
CDP
1 - 1
LAU
36%
26%
38%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
LAU
2 - 0
TRA
43%
24%
32%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
JOA
0 - 1
LAU
36%
24%
41%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
LAU
0 - 2
GVE
45%
26%
29%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -1 |