Provincial Ovalle vs Lautaro de Buin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
38.6%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-33%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
7º
14º
8º
27
4º
13º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 57 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
57 | 57 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 42 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 39 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 27 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
|
13º
|
27 | 27 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
8 | 17 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Provincial Ovalle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
PUE
1 - 0
OVA
51%
27%
22%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
OVA
4 - 1
MPA
75%
16%
9%
|
49 | 26 | 23 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
ACC
2 - 1
OVA
44%
26%
30%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
OVA
2 - 0
DUC
58%
22%
20%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
CHG
1 - 0
OVA
40%
26%
34%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Lautaro de Buin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
LAU
4 - 3
FVC
43%
27%
31%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
CDP
1 - 1
LAU
36%
26%
38%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
LAU
2 - 0
TRA
43%
24%
32%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
JOA
0 - 1
LAU
36%
24%
41%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
LAU
0 - 2
GVE
45%
26%
29%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | -1 |