Provincial Ovalle vs General Velásquez analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.8%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
10%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
37.3%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
7º
14º
8º
37
2º
9º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 57 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
57 | 57 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 42 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 39 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 27 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 27 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
8 | 17 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Provincial Ovalle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
SAU
0 - 1
OVA
61%
23%
17%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
CDP
2 - 1
OVA
45%
26%
28%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
OVA
0 - 1
TRA
51%
24%
25%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
OVA
1 - 1
FVC
41%
27%
32%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
LAU
1 - 1
OVA
46%
25%
29%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
General Velásquez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
GVE
0 - 1
TRA
57%
23%
20%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
CDM
1 - 0
GVE
57%
25%
19%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
GVE
0 - 4
REN
55%
24%
22%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | -2 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
CDP
2 - 3
GVE
30%
28%
42%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
GVE
4 - 0
SAU
45%
26%
29%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +1 |