Provincial Ovalle vs General Velásquez analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.6%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
7%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.6%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
52.9%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Provincial Ovalle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
TOM
7 - 2
OVA
70%
17%
13%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
BDS
3 - 1
OVA
59%
22%
20%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
OVA
0 - 1
LAU
32%
25%
43%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
DLI
1 - 0
OVA
42%
25%
33%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
OVA
1 - 0
EST
36%
26%
39%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
General Velásquez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
GVE
3 - 2
FVC
43%
26%
31%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
GVE
2 - 0
TOM
47%
24%
29%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
GVE
3 - 2
BDS
60%
22%
18%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2017 |
LAU
1 - 2
GVE
45%
24%
31%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2017 |
GVE
2 - 1
DLI
63%
21%
16%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |