Provincial Ovalle vs Cobresal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.9%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.9%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
71.4%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
12.6%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.4%
0-3
9.4%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.2%
0-4
5.3%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.4%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Provincial Ovalle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2024 |
REN
1 - 0
OVA
50%
26%
24%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
OVA
4 - 0
JOA
48%
24%
28%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
CDM
1 - 1
OVA
64%
22%
13%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
OVA
1 - 1
CDS
55%
23%
23%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
DLI
2 - 0
OVA
34%
28%
39%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Cobresal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
CSL
2 - 1
ULC
55%
23%
21%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2024 |
BSC
2 - 1
CSL
53%
23%
24%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
OHI
2 - 2
CSL
37%
27%
36%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2024 |
CSL
2 - 3
COQ
47%
25%
28%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2024 |
TAL
1 - 0
CSL
63%
21%
16%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |