Provincial Ovalle vs CD Provincial Osorno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.2%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
33.5%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-29%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
7º
14º
8º
36
2º
7º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 57 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
57 | 57 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 42 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 39 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 27 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 27 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
8 | 17 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Provincial Ovalle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
TRA
2 - 2
OVA
38%
28%
34%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
FVC
1 - 1
OVA
50%
27%
23%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2024 |
OVA
1 - 0
LAU
35%
26%
39%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
PUE
1 - 0
OVA
51%
27%
22%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
OVA
4 - 1
MPA
75%
16%
9%
|
48 | 25 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
CD Provincial Osorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
CDP
1 - 0
FVC
38%
28%
33%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
GVE
1 - 3
CDP
50%
26%
24%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
CDP
1 - 0
TRA
40%
26%
34%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
CON
1 - 1
CDP
43%
27%
31%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
CDP
1 - 1
LAU
36%
26%
38%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |