The Saarland vs Yugoslavia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.7%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
31.5%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
The Saarland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 1954 |
PDS
1 - 7
URU
49%
21%
30%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1954 |
PDS
1 - 3
BRD
55%
21%
24%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 1953 |
PDS
0 - 0
NOR
66%
17%
17%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1953 |
BRD
3 - 0
PDS
64%
18%
18%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Jun. 1953 |
NOR
2 - 3
PDS
48%
20%
33%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Yugoslavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 1954 |
WAL
1 - 3
YUG
40%
23%
38%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 1954 |
BRD
2 - 0
YUG
52%
21%
27%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Jun. 1954 |
BRA
1 - 1
YUG
67%
17%
16%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 1954 |
YUG
1 - 0
FRA
75%
14%
12%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1954 |
YUG
1 - 0
ENG
46%
20%
34%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | +1 |