The Saarland vs Netherlands analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.5%
Win probability
2.8
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.7%
7-4
0.1%
8-5
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
4.2%
5-3
1.4%
6-4
0.3%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
7%
3-2
6%
4-3
2.5%
5-4
0.6%
6-5
0.1%
7-6
<0%
+1
19.1%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
1%
1-1
5%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
3.6%
4-4
1.2%
5-5
0.2%
6-6
<0%
0
17.4%
24.1%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1.6%
4-5
0.4%
5-6
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
2-8
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
The Saarland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1954 |
PDS
1 - 5
YUG
47%
22%
32%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1954 |
PDS
1 - 7
URU
49%
21%
30%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1954 |
PDS
1 - 3
BRD
55%
21%
24%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 1953 |
PDS
0 - 0
NOR
66%
17%
17%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1953 |
BRD
3 - 0
PDS
64%
18%
18%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Netherlands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 1955 |
NED
3 - 0
NOR
60%
19%
21%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1955 |
NED
2 - 2
BEL
51%
20%
28%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1955 |
NED
4 - 1
SUI
53%
20%
27%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 May. 1955 |
IRL
1 - 0
NED
55%
18%
27%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1955 |
NED
1 - 0
BEL
46%
21%
33%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |