Progresso vs San Pedro Pirates analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.2%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
26.8%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-47%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Progresso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
PRO
0 - 0
ALT
50%
22%
29%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2022 |
BDC
0 - 0
PRO
45%
22%
33%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
PRO
1 - 0
PLA
56%
20%
24%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2022 |
WAG
1 - 0
PRO
30%
22%
49%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2022 |
HAN
1 - 1
PRO
48%
22%
30%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
San Pedro Pirates
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
BDC
0 - 0
SPP
47%
23%
31%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
SPP
3 - 2
HAN
48%
22%
30%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
SPP
4 - 1
BEL
57%
21%
22%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
SPP
3 - 2
PLA
51%
22%
27%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2022 |
WAG
0 - 2
SPP
36%
23%
41%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |