AFA Olaine vs Smiltene analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.1%
Win probability
2.92
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
4%
5-3
1.1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
5.5%
4-3
1.9%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
19.5%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
15.7%
16.2%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
-19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
9º
14º
10º
17
11º
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 33 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
17 | 17 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 14 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFA Olaine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2024 |
RFA
1 - 2
PRA
41%
20%
39%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
VAL
3 - 2
PRA
71%
17%
13%
|
40 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
KFV
2 - 2
PRA
17%
18%
65%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
TUK
2 - 0
PRA
53%
22%
25%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
PRA
1 - 3
RIG
28%
23%
49%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Smiltene
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2024 |
SMI
2 - 4
VAL
21%
21%
58%
|
30 | 55 | 25 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
KFV
2 - 0
SMI
28%
20%
52%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | -2 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
SMI
0 - 2
TUK
34%
23%
44%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
RIG
7 - 0
SMI
72%
16%
12%
|
34 | 53 | 19 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
SMI
0 - 2
FSL
92%
6%
3%
|
34 | 15 | 19 | 0 |