Progress / AFA Olaine vs Skanstes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.9%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.7%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
44.4%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-33%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
5º
13º
11º
59
1º
4º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 66 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
64 | 64 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 30 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 28 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
23 | 23 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 18 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 13 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Progress / AFA Olaine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
PRA
1 - 3
ALB
27%
24%
49%
|
42 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
RIG
1 - 0
PRA
71%
17%
12%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
PRA
1 - 3
FKT
11%
13%
75%
|
44 | 58 | 14 | -2 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
PRA
1 - 4
VAL
29%
23%
47%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
GRO
3 - 1
PRA
77%
14%
9%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Skanstes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
SKA
2 - 1
KFV
85%
11%
4%
|
53 | 16 | 37 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
ALB
1 - 1
SKA
52%
25%
23%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
SKA
1 - 0
RIG
43%
25%
33%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Jun. 2023 |
VAL
2 - 3
SKA
58%
22%
20%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
MAR
2 - 0
SKA
8%
15%
77%
|
53 | 15 | 38 | -2 |