AFA Olaine vs Rezekne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.2%
Win probability
2.82
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
5%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
15.1%
12.6%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
-54%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
9º
14º
10º
14
9º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 33 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 17 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
14 | 14 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFA Olaine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
PRA
0 - 0
VAL
27%
22%
51%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
LIE
1 - 0
PRA
82%
14%
5%
|
41 | 71 | 30 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
RIG
3 - 1
PRA
71%
17%
13%
|
42 | 60 | 18 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
PRA
3 - 1
FSL
72%
15%
13%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
ALB
2 - 0
PRA
78%
15%
8%
|
41 | 62 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Rezekne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
RFA
0 - 3
SUP
8%
16%
76%
|
31 | 57 | 26 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
RFA
1 - 0
SKA
23%
23%
53%
|
29 | 55 | 26 | +2 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
VAL
2 - 0
RFA
73%
15%
12%
|
29 | 53 | 24 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
RFA
1 - 2
RIG
18%
23%
59%
|
29 | 70 | 41 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
KFV
4 - 0
RFA
35%
21%
43%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | -2 |