Progress / AFA Olaine vs Rezekne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.1%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
20.6%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-49%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
5º
13º
11º
13
9º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 66 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
64 | 64 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 30 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 28 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
23 | 23 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 18 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
13 | 13 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Progress / AFA Olaine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
FKB
1 - 4
PRA
35%
21%
44%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
PRA
0 - 4
DRS
65%
19%
16%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | -2 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
TUK
3 - 1
PRA
43%
24%
34%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
SAL
4 - 0
PRA
53%
23%
25%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
SMI
1 - 3
PRA
45%
22%
33%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Rezekne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
SKA
9 - 0
RFA
73%
16%
11%
|
34 | 54 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
ALB
1 - 1
RFA
78%
15%
7%
|
34 | 57 | 23 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
RFA
0 - 1
RIG
19%
20%
61%
|
34 | 51 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
VAL
3 - 1
RFA
78%
14%
8%
|
34 | 54 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
RFA
1 - 4
GRO
9%
15%
77%
|
34 | 58 | 24 | 0 |