Progress / AFA Olaine vs Dinamo Rīga / Stailece Bebr analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.6%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
7%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
19%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
16.4%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
5º
13º
11º
18
10º
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 66 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
64 | 64 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 30 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 28 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
23 | 23 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
18 | 18 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 13 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Progress / AFA Olaine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
TUK
3 - 1
PRA
43%
24%
34%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
SAL
4 - 0
PRA
53%
23%
25%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
SMI
1 - 3
PRA
45%
22%
33%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
PRA
1 - 1
KFV
91%
6%
3%
|
42 | 17 | 25 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
PRA
1 - 1
SKA
31%
25%
44%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Dinamo Rīga / Stailece Bebr
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
DRS
0 - 1
SUP
25%
20%
55%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
DRS
1 - 4
SKA
20%
23%
57%
|
36 | 53 | 17 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
ALB
0 - 4
DRS
76%
16%
8%
|
33 | 58 | 25 | +3 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
DRS
4 - 1
RIG
14%
19%
67%
|
30 | 52 | 22 | +3 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
VAL
1 - 2
DRS
85%
11%
5%
|
28 | 54 | 26 | +2 |