Progress / AFA Olaine vs Aliance analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78%
Win probability
2.94
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.9%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.9%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.8%
2-0
9%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.3%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.1%
8.9%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Progress / AFA Olaine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2024 |
MAR
2 - 1
PRA
25%
20%
56%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
PRA
1 - 1
SMI
68%
16%
16%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
RFA
1 - 2
PRA
41%
20%
39%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
VAL
3 - 2
PRA
71%
17%
13%
|
38 | 54 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
KFV
2 - 2
PRA
17%
18%
65%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Aliance
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2024 |
ALI
20 - 0
LIM
17%
17%
66%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
ALI
0 - 2
DRS
9%
13%
79%
|
9 | 33 | 24 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
ALI
4 - 0
ASK
31%
21%
48%
|
8 | 9 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
ALI
1 - 4
LIM
14%
16%
70%
|
8 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
LIM
4 - 0
ALI
67%
17%
16%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | -1 |