Progreso vs Villa Teresa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.5%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
27.4%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
CSC
3 - 3
PRO
50%
24%
25%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2013 |
PRO
1 - 2
ATE
36%
27%
38%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
PRO
1 - 2
TAC
35%
27%
38%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
ROC
0 - 1
PRO
55%
22%
22%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
PLA
3 - 1
PRO
44%
25%
31%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Villa Teresa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
CEN
0 - 0
VIL
59%
24%
18%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2013 |
VIL
4 - 2
BOS
34%
28%
38%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
PLA
0 - 1
VIL
53%
25%
22%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
ATE
1 - 0
VIL
59%
23%
18%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
VIL
0 - 1
ROC
44%
26%
30%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |