Progreso vs Pepeganga Margarita analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.2%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
+4
9.7%
3-0
13%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.1%
2-0
16.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.4%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.9%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
14.2%
5.6%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 1990 |
PRO
1 - 1
MIN
52%
22%
26%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1990 |
PRO
1 - 1
DEF
53%
22%
25%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1990 |
PEP
1 - 0
PRO
10%
20%
70%
|
70 | 20 | 50 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1990 |
MIN
1 - 3
PRO
62%
20%
18%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 1990 |
DEF
0 - 0
PRO
64%
19%
17%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Pepeganga Margarita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 1990 |
DEF
1 - 0
PEP
88%
10%
2%
|
23 | 74 | 51 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1990 |
PEP
2 - 1
MIN
10%
19%
71%
|
22 | 71 | 49 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 1990 |
PEP
1 - 0
DEF
11%
21%
68%
|
21 | 74 | 53 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 1990 |
PEP
1 - 0
PRO
10%
20%
70%
|
20 | 70 | 50 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 1990 |
MIN
1 - 0
PEP
89%
9%
2%
|
20 | 72 | 52 | 0 |