Progreso vs Peñarol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.2%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.4%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
<0%
+1
12%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
11.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
26.2%
57.6%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
17.5%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.5%
0-2
13.1%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 1987 |
ALI
0 - 0
PRO
66%
18%
17%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1987 |
AGU
3 - 1
PRO
63%
19%
18%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 May. 1987 |
PEÑ
3 - 2
PRO
76%
15%
9%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 1987 |
AGU
1 - 1
PEÑ
27%
27%
46%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1987 |
ALI
0 - 1
PEÑ
25%
27%
48%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1987 |
PEÑ
3 - 2
PRO
76%
15%
9%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 1986 |
RIV
3 - 1
PEÑ
65%
21%
14%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 1986 |
BOC
1 - 1
PEÑ
52%
23%
25%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |