Progreso vs Oriental analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.6%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
36.5%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
CAN
0 - 1
PRO
54%
24%
21%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
PRO
3 - 0
DEP
41%
27%
32%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | +2 |
| 21 May. 2015 |
PLA
2 - 0
PRO
64%
21%
15%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2015 |
PRO
3 - 3
HFC
34%
26%
40%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2015 |
CSC
0 - 1
PRO
51%
24%
25%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Oriental
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
ORI
1 - 2
CEL
56%
24%
20%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2015 |
ORI
1 - 2
CSY
43%
25%
31%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
ORI
3 - 0
BAS
49%
25%
27%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
ORI
2 - 1
POT
60%
23%
18%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
ALB
2 - 1
ORI
36%
28%
37%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | -1 |