Progreso vs Montevideo Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.8%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
36.7%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
RIV
0 - 0
PRO
69%
18%
13%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
FEN
2 - 0
PRO
47%
24%
29%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
BVS
3 - 1
PRO
37%
26%
37%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
PRO
1 - 4
DEF
29%
27%
45%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
CEL
1 - 1
PRO
47%
25%
28%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Montevideo Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
CER
0 - 0
MWA
37%
26%
36%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
RIV
1 - 3
MWA
64%
19%
17%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
FEN
4 - 1
MWA
37%
26%
38%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
MWA
0 - 0
CEN
48%
25%
27%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
DAN
2 - 4
MWA
50%
24%
26%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | +1 |