Progreso vs Miramar Misiones analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.2%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
30.4%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
1º
6º
2º
54
1º
7º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
54 | 54 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
51 | 51 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 38 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 37 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 36 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 16 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 100% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
TAC
2 - 4
PRO
32%
29%
40%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
PRO
1 - 2
UMO
50%
27%
23%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
ALB
3 - 0
PRO
35%
28%
38%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2023 |
PRO
0 - 3
SUD
69%
20%
11%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | -1 |
| 07 Jul. 2023 |
JUV
1 - 1
PRO
24%
28%
48%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Miramar Misiones
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2023 |
CSM
1 - 1
UMO
48%
27%
26%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
CSM
1 - 0
ALB
58%
24%
19%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
SUD
0 - 1
CSM
26%
27%
47%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2023 |
CSM
1 - 0
JUV
62%
23%
16%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
ATE
0 - 0
CSM
23%
27%
51%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |