Progreso vs Liverpool Montevideo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.1%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.5%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
55.8%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.2%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
TOR
2 - 1
PRO
58%
22%
19%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2015 |
PRO
1 - 1
CSY
28%
25%
47%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
VIL
1 - 1
PRO
63%
21%
16%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2015 |
PRO
1 - 2
CSM
39%
27%
34%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
CEL
0 - 0
PRO
57%
23%
20%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Liverpool Montevideo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
LFC
0 - 1
DEP
73%
17%
10%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2015 |
PLA
0 - 0
LFC
30%
26%
44%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
LFC
2 - 2
HFC
72%
18%
11%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2015 |
CSC
2 - 5
LFC
20%
24%
56%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
LFC
1 - 1
CAN
70%
19%
11%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | -1 |