Progreso vs Juventud analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
9%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
26.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
PRO
0 - 1
ATE
56%
25%
19%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
CSY
1 - 2
PRO
35%
27%
39%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2022 |
PRO
2 - 1
CER
48%
27%
25%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
LUZ
1 - 0
PRO
34%
28%
38%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
TOR
1 - 0
PRO
62%
22%
16%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Juventud
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
JUV
2 - 2
CER
43%
28%
29%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
LUZ
1 - 0
JUV
39%
28%
32%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2022 |
JUV
1 - 0
CSY
49%
26%
25%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
JUV
0 - 0
ATE
48%
27%
25%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2021 |
RAC
3 - 1
JUV
46%
27%
27%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -1 |