Progreso vs Juventud analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.8%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
28.2%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
BOS
1 - 1
PRO
38%
27%
35%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
PRO
3 - 1
DEF
41%
26%
33%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2019 |
PRO
2 - 0
DAN
37%
27%
36%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2019 |
NAC
4 - 2
PRO
64%
21%
15%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2019 |
PRO
1 - 1
PEÑ
22%
25%
54%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Juventud
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
JUV
0 - 2
NAC
32%
27%
42%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
PEÑ
0 - 0
JUV
71%
18%
11%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
JUV
1 - 2
RIV
50%
24%
26%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2019 |
JUV
1 - 0
BOS
55%
24%
21%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2019 |
DEF
1 - 1
JUV
47%
26%
28%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |