Progreso vs Durazno FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.3%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
15.3%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
PRO
0 - 2
BVS
49%
24%
27%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
REN
3 - 2
PRO
33%
25%
42%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
PRO
2 - 2
SUD
69%
19%
12%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
ROC
0 - 2
PRO
25%
25%
51%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
PRO
0 - 0
DEP
70%
19%
11%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Durazno FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
DUR
0 - 4
ROC
59%
22%
19%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
DUR
1 - 2
ETS
43%
26%
31%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
BOS
2 - 1
DUR
32%
27%
41%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
DUR
1 - 0
PLA
65%
21%
14%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
REN
3 - 2
DUR
49%
24%
27%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |