Progreso vs Deportivo Maldonado analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.8%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
18.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
8
2º
6º
6º
6
7º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
14 | 14 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
13 | 13 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
11 | 11 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
10 | 10 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
8 | 8 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
8 | 8 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
6 | 6 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
6 | 6 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
MWA
4 - 2
PRO
35%
27%
39%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
PRO
3 - 2
RAC
49%
24%
27%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2024 |
PRO
2 - 0
SLO
50%
26%
25%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
PRO
0 - 2
PEÑ
51%
24%
26%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
DEF
1 - 1
PRO
46%
24%
30%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Maldonado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
DEP
1 - 1
RAC
31%
27%
42%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
PEÑ
1 - 1
DEP
53%
25%
22%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
DEP
1 - 3
FEN
42%
28%
30%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
RIV
1 - 1
DEP
59%
22%
19%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
DEP
0 - 2
DEF
32%
28%
41%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |