Progreso vs CSyD Villa Española analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.4%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
19.2%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
CSM
0 - 1
PRO
38%
28%
34%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
PRO
2 - 1
JUV
46%
27%
27%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
PRO
0 - 1
ATE
56%
25%
19%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
CSY
1 - 2
PRO
35%
27%
39%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2022 |
PRO
2 - 1
CER
48%
27%
25%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
CSyD Villa Española
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
CSY
3 - 2
JUN
43%
26%
31%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
ATE
3 - 2
CSY
48%
26%
26%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
CSY
1 - 3
LUZ
39%
27%
34%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
CSY
1 - 2
PRO
35%
27%
39%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2022 |
JUV
1 - 0
CSY
49%
26%
25%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |