Progreso vs Cerro Largo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.5%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
38.9%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
REN
0 - 0
PRO
61%
23%
16%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
PRO
1 - 0
CAN
41%
27%
32%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
VIL
1 - 2
PRO
64%
22%
15%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
PRO
0 - 0
TAC
39%
26%
35%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
PRO
0 - 1
ATE
23%
24%
53%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Cerro Largo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
CEL
2 - 0
ATE
36%
27%
38%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
CEL
3 - 1
CSC
60%
23%
16%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
CEL
0 - 0
TAC
55%
24%
21%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
DEP
0 - 3
CEL
38%
28%
34%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
TOR
0 - 0
CEL
55%
23%
22%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |