Progreso vs Cerrito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.2%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.4%
13.4%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
1º
6º
2º
36
1º
11º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 54 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
51 | 51 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 38 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 37 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 36 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 16 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
POT
2 - 2
PRO
17%
25%
58%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
NNH
1 - 2
PRO
4%
10%
87%
|
74 | 8 | 66 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
PRO
2 - 0
BVS
61%
23%
15%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
REN
3 - 0
PRO
24%
27%
49%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
PRO
1 - 1
CSM
43%
26%
30%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Cerrito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
CSC
2 - 6
UMO
28%
29%
44%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
ALB
1 - 1
CSC
57%
24%
20%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2023 |
BAS
0 - 1
CSC
46%
25%
30%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | +2 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
CSC
2 - 1
SUD
41%
27%
32%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
JUV
1 - 0
CSC
48%
27%
25%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |