Progreso vs Cerrito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.9%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
23.3%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2014 |
ATE
2 - 0
PRO
61%
22%
18%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
TAC
2 - 0
PRO
59%
23%
18%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
PRO
3 - 2
ROC
48%
25%
27%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
PRO
1 - 1
PLA
47%
26%
27%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2014 |
DEP
0 - 0
PRO
45%
26%
30%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Cerrito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2014 |
TOR
2 - 1
CSC
54%
25%
22%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
CSC
0 - 1
ATE
34%
26%
40%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
CSC
1 - 0
TAC
29%
26%
45%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
CEN
2 - 1
CSC
59%
23%
18%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2014 |
JUN
1 - 2
CSC
63%
22%
15%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | +1 |