Progreso vs Boston River analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.8%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
21.2%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
SUD
0 - 1
PRO
34%
26%
40%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
PRO
1 - 4
ATE
55%
24%
21%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
PRO
1 - 0
VIL
61%
23%
16%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
CEN
2 - 1
PRO
54%
24%
23%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
PRO
1 - 0
CSM
61%
22%
17%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Boston River
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
BOS
1 - 1
PLA
70%
20%
11%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
BOS
1 - 1
SUD
54%
25%
22%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
DEP
0 - 0
BOS
48%
25%
26%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
BOS
3 - 0
ROC
60%
23%
18%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2011 |
BOS
0 - 0
JUV
51%
26%
23%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |