Copa Libertadores Last 16
Global 2-4
Progreso vs Barcelona SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.7%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
25.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 1990 |
BSC
2 - 0
PRO
57%
21%
22%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1990 |
DEF
0 - 4
PRO
62%
20%
18%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | +2 |
| 29 Mar. 1990 |
PRO
2 - 0
PEP
80%
14%
6%
|
69 | 21 | 48 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1990 |
PRO
1 - 1
MIN
52%
22%
26%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1990 |
PRO
1 - 1
DEF
53%
22%
25%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Barcelona SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 1990 |
BSC
2 - 0
PRO
57%
21%
22%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1990 |
OPE
3 - 2
BSC
46%
24%
31%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1990 |
BSC
3 - 1
OPE
62%
20%
19%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 1990 |
BSC
1 - 0
STR
53%
25%
22%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1990 |
OPE
1 - 1
BSC
50%
23%
27%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |