Progreso vs Atenas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.9%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.6%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.1%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
46.3%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
CEL
0 - 1
PRO
61%
23%
16%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
PRO
2 - 2
REN
37%
27%
37%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2017 |
PRO
0 - 1
TAC
52%
25%
23%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Jul. 2017 |
CEN
1 - 0
PRO
55%
25%
20%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Jul. 2017 |
PRO
0 - 2
CSY
35%
26%
39%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Atenas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
ATE
2 - 1
CEL
56%
24%
20%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2017 |
ATE
1 - 0
REN
58%
22%
20%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2017 |
TAC
0 - 1
ATE
25%
26%
50%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2017 |
ATE
2 - 2
CEN
55%
23%
22%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2017 |
CSY
1 - 0
ATE
40%
26%
34%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |