Progreso vs Atenas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.6%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
37.8%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
PRO
1 - 2
TAC
35%
27%
38%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
ROC
0 - 1
PRO
55%
22%
22%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
PLA
3 - 1
PRO
44%
25%
31%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2013 |
PRO
0 - 1
DEP
48%
26%
26%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
BOS
1 - 0
PRO
57%
23%
20%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Atenas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
ATE
2 - 0
CSC
61%
23%
17%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
ATE
1 - 0
VIL
59%
23%
18%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
HFC
0 - 2
ATE
49%
26%
25%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2013 |
ATE
1 - 1
PLA
63%
21%
15%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
ATE
1 - 4
CEN
51%
25%
25%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |