Champions League 1/16
Global 0-12
Progrès Niederkorn vs Real Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.4%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.9%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
54.7%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.6%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Progrès Niederkorn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1978 |
RMA
5 - 0
PRO
89%
8%
4%
|
62 | 86 | 24 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1977 |
VEJ
9 - 0
PRO
61%
19%
20%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -2 |
| 14 Sep. 1977 |
PRO
0 - 1
VEJ
58%
20%
22%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 1943 |
PRO
0 - 3
SKF
58%
20%
22%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1978 |
RMA
3 - 1
FCB
61%
22%
18%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1978 |
HER
1 - 2
RMA
28%
26%
45%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1978 |
RMA
5 - 0
PRO
89%
8%
4%
|
86 | 62 | 24 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1978 |
SLA
1 - 1
RMA
24%
27%
49%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1978 |
RMA
2 - 1
VCF
72%
17%
11%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |