Union Dietach vs Hogo Wels II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.6%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.5%
23.9%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-46%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
1º
10º
3º
16
2º
15º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 71 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 64 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
49 | 55 |
3º
|
29.5% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 54 |
4º
|
29.5% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 49 |
5º
|
99% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 45 |
6º
|
37% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 45 |
7º
|
38% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 41 |
8º
|
87.5% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 41 |
9º
|
51.5% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 39 |
10º
|
35.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 39 |
11º
|
32% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 38 |
12º
|
32% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 37 |
13º
|
31% | |
|
14º
|
28 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
16 | 19 |
15º
|
98.5% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 4 |
16º
|
98.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Possible next round
|
0% | 98.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 1.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Dietach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
OST
3 - 2
PWD
20%
19%
61%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
PWD
1 - 2
UNP
73%
16%
12%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2022 |
STM
3 - 0
PWD
54%
20%
26%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
PWD
2 - 3
UNI
69%
17%
14%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
SVZ
1 - 5
PWD
36%
21%
43%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Hogo Wels II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
WEL
0 - 3
OED
27%
22%
51%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
UMA
5 - 2
WEL
30%
22%
48%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | -2 |
| 16 Sep. 2022 |
WEL
1 - 2
ASV
58%
20%
22%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2022 |
UNI
4 - 1
WEL
38%
23%
39%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | -2 |
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
WEL
7 - 0
STA
90%
7%
3%
|
26 | 8 | 18 | 0 |