Union Dietach vs Ostermiething analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.3%
Win probability
2.85
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.7%
11.9%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+41%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
1º
11º
2º
45
1º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 67 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
55 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
45 | 45 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
44 | 44 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
44 | 44 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
41 | 41 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 36 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
36 | 36 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
33 | 33 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
24 | 24 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
10 | 10 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Dietach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
STM
0 - 1
PWD
43%
21%
36%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
PWD
1 - 1
SBL
91%
6%
2%
|
31 | 10 | 21 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2023 |
SVF
3 - 3
PWD
18%
18%
63%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2023 |
PWD
4 - 1
ASV
66%
17%
17%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2023 |
0 - 0
PWD
47%
21%
33%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Ostermiething
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2023 |
OST
4 - 1
UNP
44%
22%
34%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
ASV
0 - 4
OST
61%
19%
20%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2023 |
OST
3 - 2
UMA
29%
21%
50%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Jun. 2023 |
FRI
4 - 2
OST
72%
16%
13%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2023 |
OST
1 - 4
UNP
39%
22%
38%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | -1 |