Pro Patria vs Triestina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.1%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
30.1%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pro Patria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 1949 |
INT
2 - 1
PRO
76%
14%
10%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1949 |
PRO
3 - 0
PAD
51%
23%
26%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 1949 |
FIO
3 - 1
PRO
63%
19%
18%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 1949 |
PRO
0 - 0
ATL
59%
22%
18%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1949 |
LIV
2 - 0
PRO
48%
24%
28%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 1949 |
TRI
1 - 1
ATL
60%
23%
18%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1949 |
TRI
3 - 1
SAM
39%
25%
36%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1949 |
BOL
1 - 1
TRI
59%
22%
20%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1949 |
NOV
3 - 0
TRI
38%
26%
36%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1949 |
TRI
1 - 3
ACM
33%
26%
41%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | -1 |