Pro Patria vs Poggibonsi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.2%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
10%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.3%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.1%
9.6%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pro Patria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
PRO
3 - 0
LEC
86%
11%
4%
|
40 | 22 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
PRO
0 - 2
REN
76%
15%
9%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | -2 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
SAN
0 - 1
PRO
39%
27%
35%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
MAN
2 - 2
PRO
64%
22%
15%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
PRO
1 - 0
USA
43%
26%
31%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Poggibonsi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
USP
1 - 0
SAN
26%
27%
47%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
ACD
3 - 0
USP
58%
23%
20%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
USP
5 - 2
ACM
37%
28%
35%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | +2 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
TRE
1 - 0
USP
76%
16%
8%
|
29 | 50 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
USP
1 - 1
ACG
41%
27%
32%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | 0 |