Pro Patria vs Cremonese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.7%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
26.4%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pro Patria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
PRO
3 - 0
VNZ
58%
25%
18%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
PER
2 - 1
PRO
36%
28%
36%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
PRO
2 - 0
UNI
56%
25%
19%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
ASS
1 - 1
PRO
43%
27%
30%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
PRO
0 - 1
REG
47%
27%
26%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Cremonese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
USC
0 - 0
LEC
62%
22%
16%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2009 |
USC
1 - 0
NOV
57%
23%
20%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
POR
1 - 0
USC
33%
28%
39%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
VER
2 - 3
USC
39%
28%
33%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
USC
0 - 0
SPA
54%
24%
23%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |