Pro Patria vs FC Alessandria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.1%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
10%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
31.3%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pro Patria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
CAS
1 - 1
PRO
39%
27%
34%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
PRO
1 - 0
SAN
71%
17%
11%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
SAV
1 - 2
PRO
43%
26%
31%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2011 |
PRO
3 - 0
RIM
27%
25%
48%
|
36 | 51 | 15 | +2 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
VIN
0 - 2
PRO
28%
27%
45%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
FC Alessandria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
USA
2 - 3
ACS
77%
15%
7%
|
46 | 27 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2011 |
SAV
1 - 1
USA
25%
27%
48%
|
47 | 34 | 13 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
VAL
1 - 1
USA
12%
24%
65%
|
47 | 22 | 25 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
USA
2 - 1
ACG
79%
15%
6%
|
47 | 26 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2011 |
ACM
0 - 0
USA
20%
26%
55%
|
48 | 33 | 15 | -1 |