Pro Patria vs US Alessandria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.6%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
31.3%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pro Patria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 1930 |
USC
1 - 2
PRO
51%
22%
27%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1930 |
TOR
7 - 0
PRO
81%
12%
7%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 1930 |
TRI
2 - 1
PRO
56%
21%
23%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1930 |
PRO
6 - 1
ROM
20%
19%
60%
|
65 | 82 | 17 | +2 |
| 12 Jan. 1930 |
ACM
3 - 2
PRO
86%
9%
5%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
US Alessandria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 1930 |
ROM
1 - 1
USA
74%
14%
12%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1930 |
USA
3 - 0
USC
58%
20%
22%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 1930 |
MOD
0 - 1
USA
46%
23%
31%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1930 |
LIV
2 - 1
USA
49%
22%
29%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 1930 |
USA
4 - 1
TRI
53%
21%
26%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | +1 |