Pro Patria vs Cavese 1919 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
31.7%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pro Patria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2007 |
PRO
0 - 0
USF
44%
28%
28%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2007 |
USC
0 - 1
PRO
50%
27%
24%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
ASS
0 - 0
PRO
50%
27%
23%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2007 |
PRO
1 - 0
NOV
50%
27%
23%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2007 |
PRO
1 - 0
NOV
48%
27%
26%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Cavese 1919
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2007 |
CAV
1 - 1
VER
44%
28%
28%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2007 |
SSM
2 - 1
CAV
37%
28%
35%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
CTT
3 - 1
CAV
45%
28%
27%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2007 |
CAV
1 - 1
PRO
63%
23%
15%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2007 |
CAV
1 - 1
SAL
55%
25%
20%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |