Pro Patria vs SPAL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.6%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
22%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pro Patria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
CES
0 - 0
PRO
53%
25%
22%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
PRO
0 - 2
PRO
33%
28%
39%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
PRO
2 - 0
ACL
54%
25%
20%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
NOV
2 - 1
PRO
46%
25%
28%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
PRO
2 - 2
USC
47%
27%
26%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
SPA
3 - 1
VNZ
49%
28%
23%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
PAD
0 - 0
SPA
56%
24%
20%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
SPA
1 - 0
PRO
45%
28%
27%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
POR
2 - 0
SPA
37%
28%
35%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
SPA
0 - 1
ACL
51%
27%
22%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | -1 |