Pro Patria vs Roma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.2%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
30.8%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pro Patria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1954 |
TRI
1 - 0
PRO
57%
22%
22%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1954 |
PRO
1 - 2
JUV
21%
23%
56%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1954 |
PRO
2 - 0
CAG
51%
21%
28%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1954 |
PAD
2 - 2
PRO
49%
24%
27%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1954 |
PRO
1 - 0
VIC
64%
20%
15%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1954 |
ROM
2 - 1
GEN
67%
20%
14%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1954 |
NOV
1 - 2
ROM
54%
23%
24%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1954 |
ROM
1 - 2
ACM
32%
24%
44%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1954 |
UNI
2 - 2
ROM
51%
23%
26%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1954 |
ROM
1 - 3
BOL
52%
23%
26%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | -1 |