Pro Patria vs Renate analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.5%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
30.5%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pro Patria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
MAN
1 - 1
PRO
60%
23%
18%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
PRO
1 - 0
USC
17%
24%
59%
|
36 | 55 | 19 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
FCS
2 - 1
PRO
70%
20%
11%
|
36 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
PRO
0 - 0
PAD
15%
24%
62%
|
36 | 57 | 21 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
GER
0 - 0
PRO
69%
19%
12%
|
35 | 48 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Renate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
REN
1 - 0
CUN
26%
27%
46%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
BV5
2 - 0
REN
69%
20%
11%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
REN
0 - 2
PIA
25%
27%
48%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
ABN
1 - 0
REN
46%
25%
29%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
REN
0 - 1
USC
18%
27%
55%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | -1 |