Pro Patria vs Piacenza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.8%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
24.1%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pro Patria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2021 |
PRO
0 - 0
PRO
28%
27%
46%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
PRO
2 - 1
COM
32%
27%
41%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
PRO
0 - 2
PER
58%
24%
19%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2021 |
ASL
1 - 2
PRO
23%
26%
51%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
PRO
0 - 0
REN
42%
28%
30%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Piacenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2021 |
PIA
0 - 0
GER
58%
23%
20%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
REN
1 - 1
PIA
47%
27%
26%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
PIA
0 - 1
LEC
41%
27%
31%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2021 |
OLB
2 - 3
PIA
35%
26%
39%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
PIA
2 - 0
PIS
52%
24%
24%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | +1 |