Pro Patria vs Pergocrema analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.2%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
15%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.6%
17.2%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pro Patria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
MAN
3 - 1
PRO
56%
24%
20%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2009 |
PRO
4 - 0
GEL
68%
20%
12%
|
59 | 40 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
PAD
0 - 0
PRO
53%
25%
22%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
PRO
1 - 1
SSS
62%
23%
16%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
POR
0 - 1
PRO
35%
28%
37%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Pergocrema
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2009 |
PER
0 - 1
ASF
66%
21%
13%
|
56 | 35 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
SPA
2 - 1
PER
44%
29%
27%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
PER
2 - 1
PRO
49%
27%
24%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
ACL
0 - 2
PER
46%
29%
26%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
PER
0 - 1
PAD
36%
29%
35%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |