Pro Patria vs Parma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.9%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.7%
14.4%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pro Patria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 1965 |
PRO
2 - 0
TRI
60%
23%
16%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1965 |
FOR
3 - 1
PRO
48%
27%
25%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 May. 1965 |
POT
3 - 0
PRO
64%
21%
15%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 May. 1965 |
PRO
2 - 2
VER
52%
26%
22%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1965 |
ASS
0 - 0
PRO
58%
23%
18%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 1965 |
PAR
0 - 0
LEC
38%
31%
31%
|
54 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1965 |
USA
3 - 0
PAR
58%
26%
17%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 May. 1965 |
PAR
1 - 0
PAD
39%
30%
31%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | +1 |
| 02 May. 1965 |
PAR
2 - 1
TRI
58%
23%
19%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 1965 |
REG
0 - 0
PAR
69%
20%
11%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |