Pro Patria vs Paganese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.6%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
19%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pro Patria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
PAD
2 - 1
PRO
64%
22%
14%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2008 |
PRO
0 - 1
UNI
45%
27%
27%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2008 |
PRO
1 - 1
PRO
48%
26%
26%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2008 |
PRO
1 - 2
VER
52%
27%
21%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | -2 |
| 09 Mar. 2008 |
PRO
0 - 0
CTT
31%
28%
40%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
PAG
3 - 1
VNZ
34%
29%
38%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2008 |
TER
2 - 1
PAG
57%
25%
19%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2008 |
UNI
5 - 0
PAG
59%
25%
17%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2008 |
PAG
1 - 1
NOV
38%
27%
35%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2008 |
FOL
0 - 0
PAG
61%
24%
16%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | 0 |