Pro Patria vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
24.7%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pro Patria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2008 |
USC
3 - 1
PRO
46%
26%
28%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
VNZ
0 - 2
PRO
46%
27%
28%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
PRO
3 - 0
PER
46%
28%
27%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
UNI
0 - 1
PRO
50%
26%
25%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
PRO
4 - 0
ASS
43%
29%
29%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2008 |
NOV
2 - 1
REG
51%
25%
24%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2008 |
NOV
5 - 2
FCC
71%
18%
11%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
RAV
1 - 1
NOV
53%
25%
22%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
NOV
1 - 3
UNI
54%
25%
22%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
LEC
0 - 0
NOV
33%
29%
38%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | -1 |